Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.14
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Lenense
Estimated win chances: Lenense 42.4%, draw 26.6%, Colunga 31%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedLenense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedColunga
Lenense · low scoringColunga · low scoring
Lenense
4W · 0D · 4LRecent →LLWWLWWL
Momentum index
Colunga
2W · 2D · 4LRecent →DWDWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLenense +4
Lenense
12 pts50% wins
4W · 0D · 4L · 8 played
For8
Against13
Colunga
8 pts25% wins
2W · 2D · 4L · 8 played
For6
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lenense offensive edge
Lenense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Colunga offensive edge
Colunga's attack (55%) vs Lenense's defense (40%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lenenselow scoring
Colungalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Lenense40%
2Draws
1Colunga20%