Goal expectancy
1.05Expected goals1.48
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Lens 26.9%, draw 26.1%, Rennes 47.1%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.05Expected goals1.48
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Rennes arrives with stronger form weighting (+64 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
1W · 2D · 5L · 8 played
5W · 3D · 0L · 8 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Lens faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-54Rennes's attack (73%) vs Lens's defense (19%).
+54Comparison indices from the match data partner.