Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.11
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Leon 0-1 Lobos Buap Prediction
Balanced — model leans Leon
Estimated win chances: Leon 47.7%, draw 25.2%, Lobos Buap 27.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellLeon
Weighted momentum
Leon carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
9Cold spellLobos Buap
Leon · cold formLobos Buap · High-risk / fragile
Leon
3W · 1D · 5LRecent →LLWWLWDLL
Momentum index
Lobos Buap
1W · 1D · 7LRecent →LLLLLDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeon +6
Leon
10 pts33% wins
3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played
For10
Against14
Lobos Buap
4 pts11% wins
1W · 1D · 7L · 9 played
For6
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leon offensive edge
Leon's attack (63%) vs Lobos Buap's defense (41%).
+22 - Lobos Buap offensive edge
Lobos Buap runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Leoncold form
Lobos BuapHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Leon0%
1Draws
1Lobos Buap50%