Goal expectancy
1.64Expected goals1.01
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Leotar
Estimated win chances: Leotar 52.1%, draw 24.6%, Modriča 23.3%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingLeotar
Weighted momentum
Leotar carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
44MixedModriča
Modriča · low scoring · leaky defense
Leotar
6W · 1D · 4LRecent →LWWWLDLWWWL
Momentum index
Modriča
3W · 1D · 7LRecent →WWWLLDLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeotar +9
Leotar
19 pts55% wins
6W · 1D · 4L · 11 played
For13
Against11
Modriča
10 pts27% wins
3W · 1D · 7L · 11 played
For11
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leotar offensive edge
Leotar's attack (38%) vs Modriča's defense (31%).
+7 - Modriča offensive edge
Modriča runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Modričalow scoring · leaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Leotar50%
1Draws
0Modriča0%