Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals0.93
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Levski Sofia 4-0 Arda Kardzhali Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Levski Sofia
Estimated win chances: Levski Sofia 45.4%, draw 28.1%, Arda Kardzhali 26.5%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingLevski Sofia
Weighted momentum
Levski Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
42MixedArda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia · compact defenseArda Kardzhali · compact defense
Levski Sofia
11W · 5D · 5LRecent →WWWDDLDLWDLWWDWWWLWWL
Momentum index
Arda Kardzhali
9W · 4D · 8LRecent →LLWLLWLDDDLWWWWWLWWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevski Sofia +7
Levski Sofia
38 pts52% wins
11W · 5D · 5L · 21 played
For32
Against16
Arda Kardzhali
31 pts43% wins
9W · 4D · 8L · 21 played
For24
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Levski Sofia offensive edge
Levski Sofia's attack (82%) vs Arda Kardzhali's defense (33%).
+49 - Arda Kardzhali offensive edge
Arda Kardzhali runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-49
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Levski Sofiacompact defense
Arda Kardzhalicompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Levski Sofia50%
1Draws
0Arda Kardzhali0%