Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals0.84
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Levski Sofia 1-0 Beroe Prediction
Balanced — model leans Levski Sofia
Estimated win chances: Levski Sofia 54.8%, draw 25.2%, Beroe 19.9%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingLevski Sofia
Weighted momentum
Levski Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
34Cold spellBeroe
Levski Sofia · compact defenseBeroe · low scoring · cold form
Levski Sofia
15W · 6D · 8LRecent →LLLWWDWWWWWDDLDLWDLWWDWWWLWWL
Momentum index
Beroe
9W · 6D · 14LRecent →DLLWDWLLLDLWLDWWLLDLLLLWDWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevski Sofia +18
Levski Sofia
51 pts52% wins
15W · 6D · 8L · 29 played
For44
Against26
Beroe
33 pts31% wins
9W · 6D · 14L · 29 played
For24
Against41
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Levski Sofia offensive edge
Levski Sofia's attack (58%) vs Beroe's defense (56%).
+2 - Beroe offensive edge
Beroe runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Levski Sofiacompact defense
Beroelow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Levski Sofia60%
1Draws
1Beroe20%