Levski Sofia 1-0 Botev Vratsa Prediction

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
1 — 0FT
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Levski Sofia

Estimated win chances: Levski Sofia 61.9%, draw 20.2%, Botev Vratsa 17.9%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.12Expected goals1.05

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–110.6%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 1–110%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 3–17.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedLevski Sofia
Weighted momentum

Levski Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+28 momentum).

22Cold spellBotev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa · High-risk / fragile

Levski Sofia

2W · 0D · 2L
Recent →LWWL
Momentum index

Botev Vratsa

1W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevski Sofia +3

Levski Sofia

6 pts
50% wins

2W · 0D · 2L · 4 played

For
11
Against
5
Goal diff +6

Botev Vratsa

3 pts
25% wins

1W · 0D · 3L · 4 played

For
2
Against
10
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Levski Sofia offensive edge

    Levski Sofia's attack (85%) vs Botev Vratsa's defense (33%).

    +52
  • Botev Vratsa offensive edge

    Botev Vratsa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -52

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Levski Sofia85
Botev Vratsa15

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Levski Sofia67
Botev Vratsa33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Levski Sofia50
Botev Vratsa22

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Levski Sofia154
Botev Vratsa-54

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Levski Sofia30
Botev Vratsa52

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Levski Sofia67
Botev Vratsa33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Levski Sofia71
Botev Vratsa29
Botev VratsaHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

2Levski Sofia67%
0Draws
1Botev Vratsa33%

Recent meetings