Goal expectancy
1.69Expected goals0.83
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Levski Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Levski Sofia
Estimated win chances: Levski Sofia 57.8%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 18.2%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingLevski Sofia
Weighted momentum
Levski Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
39Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia · compact defenseSeptemvri Sofia · low scoring · cold form
Levski Sofia
9W · 1D · 4LRecent →LLWLWWWDWLWWWW
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
4W · 1D · 9LRecent →WLLWLDWWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevski Sofia +15
Levski Sofia
28 pts64% wins
9W · 1D · 4L · 14 played
For25
Against10
Septemvri Sofia
13 pts29% wins
4W · 1D · 9L · 14 played
For11
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Levski Sofia offensive edge
Levski Sofia's attack (57%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (55%).
+2 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Levski Sofiacompact defense
Septemvri Sofialow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Levski Sofia60%
2Draws
0Septemvri Sofia0%