Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals1.74
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Hammarby
Estimated win chances: Linköping 23.7%, draw 23.7%, Hammarby 52.6%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedLinköping
Weighted momentum
Hammarby arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
75Hot streakHammarby
Linköping · leaky defenseHammarby · compact defense · hot form
Linköping
7W · 4D · 10LRecent →LWLDLDLWWLWWWLLWLLLDD
Momentum index
Hammarby
16W · 0D · 5LRecent →WWLWWLWWWWWWLLLWWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHammarby +23
Linköping
25 pts33% wins
7W · 4D · 10L · 21 played
For28
Against35
Hammarby
48 pts76% wins
16W · 0D · 5L · 21 played
For51
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Linköping offensive edge
Linköping faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-52 - Hammarby offensive edge
Hammarby's attack (72%) vs Linköping's defense (20%).
+52
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Linköpingleaky defense
Hammarbycompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Linköping29%
2Draws
3Hammarby43%