Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.14
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Linköping
Estimated win chances: Linköping 40.5%, draw 27.2%, Piteå W 32.3%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellLinköping
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
33Cold spellPiteå W
Linköping · High-risk / fragilePiteå W · low scoring · cold form
Linköping
2W · 2D · 5LRecent →WLLWLLLDD
Momentum index
Piteå W
2W · 3D · 4LRecent →WLDLDLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPiteå W +1
Linköping
8 pts22% wins
2W · 2D · 5L · 9 played
For8
Against15
Piteå W
9 pts22% wins
2W · 3D · 4L · 9 played
For6
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Linköping offensive edge
Linköping's attack (83%) vs Piteå W's defense (55%).
+28 - Piteå W offensive edge
Piteå W runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
LinköpingHigh-risk / fragile
Piteå Wlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Linköping50%
2Draws
1Piteå W17%