Goal expectancy
1.75Expected goals1.33
From 20 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Llanelli 47.4%, draw 23.4%, Neath 29.2%. From 20 and 18 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.75Expected goals1.33
From 20 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Llanelli carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
14W · 3D · 3L · 20 played
9W · 6D · 3L · 18 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Llanelli's attack (52%) vs Neath's defense (44%).
+8Neath runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8Comparison indices from the match data partner.