Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.46
From 9 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Drita
Estimated win chances: Llapi 29.5%, draw 26%, Drita 44.5%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
17Cold spellLlapi
Weighted momentum
Drita arrives with stronger form weighting (+39 momentum).
56BuildingDrita
Llapi · High-risk / fragileDrita · compact defense
Llapi
1W · 1D · 7LRecent →DLLLWLLLL
Momentum index
Drita
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →WLWDLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Llapi
4 pts11% wins
1W · 1D · 7L · 9 played
For8
Against22
Drita
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For9
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Llapi offensive edge
Llapi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Drita offensive edge
Drita's attack (43%) vs Llapi's defense (25%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
LlapiHigh-risk / fragile
Dritacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
7Llapi70%
1Draws
2Drita20%