Goal expectancy
1.55Expected goals1.28
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Llapi
Estimated win chances: Llapi 43.6%, draw 24.9%, Ferizaj 31.5%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
100Hot streakLlapi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
100Hot streakFerizaj
Llapi · hot formFerizaj · compact defense · hot form
Llapi
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Ferizaj
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Llapi
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For9
Against4
Ferizaj
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For5
Against0
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Llapi offensive edge
Llapi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-36 - Ferizaj offensive edge
Ferizaj's attack (36%) vs Llapi's defense (0%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Llapihot form
Ferizajcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Llapi38%
4Draws
1Ferizaj13%