Llapi 3-2 Feronikeli Prediction

LlapiLlapi
3 — 2FT
FeronikeliFeronikeli

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Llapi

Estimated win chances: Llapi 54.6%, draw 25.8%, Feronikeli 19.6%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals0.80

From 31 and 31 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–015.2%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 2–19.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

66BuildingLlapi
Weighted momentum

Llapi carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).

39Cold spellFeronikeli
Llapi · compact defense · hot formFeronikeli · low scoring · cold form

Llapi

18W · 7D · 6L
Recent →WWDLWDLWWDWWWWWLWWDDDLWLWWWDWWL
Momentum index

Feronikeli

9W · 7D · 15L
Recent →WDLDWLLWLLDDLWWLWLDLLDWDLWLLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLlapi +27

Llapi

61 pts
58% wins

18W · 7D · 6L · 31 played

For
46
Against
22
Goal diff +24

Feronikeli

34 pts
29% wins

9W · 7D · 15L · 31 played

For
27
Against
41
Goal diff -14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Llapi offensive edge

    Llapi's attack (64%) vs Feronikeli's defense (33%).

    +31
  • Feronikeli offensive edge

    Feronikeli runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -31

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Llapi64
Feronikeli36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Llapi67
Feronikeli33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Llapi66
Feronikeli39

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Llapi112
Feronikeli-12

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Llapi30
Feronikeli30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Llapi56
Feronikeli44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Llapi100
Feronikeli0
Llapicompact defense · hot form
Feronikelilow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

2Llapi40%
0Draws
3Feronikeli60%

Recent meetings