Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.23
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Llapi
Estimated win chances: Llapi 39.9%, draw 26.4%, Gjilani 33.8%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellLlapi
Weighted momentum
Gjilani arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
41MixedGjilani
Llapi · low scoring · cold form
Llapi
4W · 6D · 8LRecent →DLLDLDLDLLDWWWLLWD
Momentum index
Gjilani
5W · 6D · 7LRecent →LWDLWDLDWLDWLWLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGjilani +3
Llapi
18 pts22% wins
4W · 6D · 8L · 18 played
For18
Against23
Gjilani
21 pts28% wins
5W · 6D · 7L · 18 played
For26
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Llapi offensive edge
Llapi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Gjilani offensive edge
Gjilani's attack (70%) vs Llapi's defense (38%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Llapilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Llapi50%
2Draws
0Gjilani0%