Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals1.34
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Llapi
Estimated win chances: Llapi 45%, draw 24%, Trepça'89 31%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedLlapi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedTrepça'89
Trepça'89 · leaky defense
Llapi
6W · 5D · 8LRecent →WLDLWLWLLDWDWLLLDDW
Momentum index
Trepça'89
5W · 7D · 7LRecent →WDLLWWLDLDLDWDWLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLlapi +1
Llapi
23 pts32% wins
6W · 5D · 8L · 19 played
For24
Against28
Trepça'89
22 pts26% wins
5W · 7D · 7L · 19 played
For29
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Llapi offensive edge
Llapi's attack (50%) vs Trepça'89's defense (42%).
+8 - Trepça'89 offensive edge
Trepça'89 runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Trepça'89leaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Llapi57%
2Draws
1Trepça'8914%