Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.38
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Lobos Buap 0-1 Leon Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Lobos Buap 36.5%, draw 25.6%, Leon 37.9%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedLobos Buap
Weighted momentum
Leon arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
57BuildingLeon
Lobos Buap
9W · 5D · 12LRecent →WLWLDLLWWWLWDDDWWLLLLLDLWL
Momentum index
Leon
11W · 5D · 10LRecent →WWWWWWLDDDLDLWLWLLLWWLWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeon +6
Lobos Buap
32 pts35% wins
9W · 5D · 12L · 26 played
For33
Against41
Leon
38 pts42% wins
11W · 5D · 10L · 26 played
For40
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lobos Buap offensive edge
Lobos Buap faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-61 - Leon offensive edge
Leon's attack (70%) vs Lobos Buap's defense (9%).
+61
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Lobos Buap0%
1Draws
2Leon67%