Goal expectancy
0.84Expected goals1.53
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cska Sofia
Estimated win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 20.6%, draw 25.8%, Cska Sofia 53.6%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellLokomotiv Sofia
Weighted momentum
Cska Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
74Hot streakCska Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia · High-risk / fragileCska Sofia · compact defense · hot form
Lokomotiv Sofia
7W · 4D · 14LRecent →LLWLWLDDLWLDWDLLWLLLLWLLW
Momentum index
Cska Sofia
16W · 6D · 3LRecent →WWWLWLDWWWWDWDWWWWWDWLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCska Sofia +29
Lokomotiv Sofia
25 pts28% wins
7W · 4D · 14L · 25 played
For20
Against46
Cska Sofia
54 pts64% wins
16W · 6D · 3L · 25 played
For42
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lokomotiv Sofia offensive edge
Lokomotiv Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-60 - Cska Sofia offensive edge
Cska Sofia's attack (75%) vs Lokomotiv Sofia's defense (15%).
+60
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lokomotiv SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
Cska Sofiacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lokomotiv Sofia25%
3Draws
0Cska Sofia0%