Goal expectancy
1.32Expected goals1.05
From 7 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Lokomotiv Sofia 0-3 CSKA Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Lokomotiv Sofia
Estimated win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 42.8%, draw 27.5%, Cska Sofia 29.7%. From 7 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedLokomotiv Sofia
Weighted momentum
Lokomotiv Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
12Cold spellCska Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia · low scoringCska Sofia · low scoring · cold form
Lokomotiv Sofia
2W · 3D · 2LRecent →DLDWWDL
Momentum index
Cska Sofia
1W · 0D · 5LRecent →LLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Lokomotiv Sofia
9 pts29% wins
2W · 3D · 2L · 7 played
For5
Against9
Cska Sofia
3 pts17% wins
1W · 0D · 5L · 6 played
For4
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lokomotiv Sofia offensive edge
Lokomotiv Sofia's attack (50%) vs Cska Sofia's defense (27%).
+23 - Cska Sofia offensive edge
Cska Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lokomotiv Sofialow scoring
Cska Sofialow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lokomotiv Sofia20%
3Draws
1Cska Sofia20%