Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.05
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Lorient 42.2%, draw 27.7%, Toulouse 30%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.30Expected goals1.05
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
4W · 4D · 2L · 10 played
5W · 3D · 2L · 10 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Lorient's attack (58%) vs Toulouse's defense (40%).
+18Toulouse runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18Comparison indices from the match data partner.