Lorient 0-0 Toulouse Prediction

LorientLorient
0 — 0FT
ToulouseToulouse

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Lorient

Estimated win chances: Lorient 42.2%, draw 27.7%, Toulouse 30%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.30Expected goals1.05

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedLorient
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

54BuildingToulouse
Lorient · compact defense

Lorient

4W · 4D · 2L
Recent →LWDDWDWLDW
Momentum index

Toulouse

5W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DLWDWWLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapToulouse +2

Lorient

16 pts
40% wins

4W · 4D · 2L · 10 played

For
12
Against
9
Goal diff +3

Toulouse

18 pts
50% wins

5W · 3D · 2L · 10 played

For
12
Against
10
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lorient offensive edge

    Lorient's attack (58%) vs Toulouse's defense (40%).

    +18
  • Toulouse offensive edge

    Toulouse runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -18

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lorient58
Toulouse42

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lorient60
Toulouse40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lorient51
Toulouse54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lorient86
Toulouse14

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lorient30
Toulouse30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lorient50
Toulouse50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lorient20
Toulouse80
Lorientcompact defense