Goal expectancy
1.10Expected goals1.16
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Luarca 34.2%, draw 28.7%, Praviano 37.2%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellLuarca
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedPraviano
Luarca · High-risk / fragilePraviano · Structured / conservative
Luarca
4W · 4D · 9LRecent →WDLLDLWDWWLLLLDLL
Momentum index
Praviano
5W · 9D · 3LRecent →DDLDDWWLDDWDWLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPraviano +8
Luarca
16 pts24% wins
4W · 4D · 9L · 17 played
For22
Against33
Praviano
24 pts29% wins
5W · 9D · 3L · 17 played
For11
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Luarca offensive edge
Luarca's attack (100%) vs Praviano's defense (86%).
+14 - Praviano offensive edge
Praviano runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
LuarcaHigh-risk / fragile
PravianoStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Luarca20%
4Draws
0Praviano0%