Goal expectancy
1.79Expected goals1.59
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Lucksta
Estimated win chances: Lucksta 42.9%, draw 22.6%, Gottne 34.5%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellLucksta
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
35Cold spellGottne
Lucksta · High-risk / fragileGottne · High-risk / fragile
Lucksta
6W · 4D · 10LRecent →DLLLLWWWDWLLWLLDWLDL
Momentum index
Gottne
6W · 4D · 10LRecent →WLDDLLWDLLLDWLWLWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Lucksta
22 pts30% wins
6W · 4D · 10L · 20 played
For34
Against45
Gottne
22 pts30% wins
6W · 4D · 10L · 20 played
For27
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lucksta offensive edge
Lucksta faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Gottne offensive edge
Gottne's attack (45%) vs Lucksta's defense (32%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
LuckstaHigh-risk / fragile
GottneHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lucksta100%
0Draws
0Gottne0%