Goal expectancy
1.83Expected goals1.43
From 9 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Lucksta
Estimated win chances: Lucksta 47.1%, draw 22.7%, Gottne 30.2%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedLucksta
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedGottne
Lucksta · leaky defenseGottne · leaky defense
Lucksta
3W · 1D · 5LRecent →WLWDLWLLL
Momentum index
Gottne
3W · 0D · 5LRecent →WWLLWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Lucksta
10 pts33% wins
3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played
For15
Against17
Gottne
9 pts38% wins
3W · 0D · 5L · 8 played
For12
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lucksta offensive edge
Lucksta's attack (50%) vs Gottne's defense (47%).
+3 - Gottne offensive edge
Gottne runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Luckstaleaky defense
Gottneleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Lucksta67%
0Draws
1Gottne33%