Ludogorets 3-0 CSKA Sofia Prediction

LudogoretsLudogorets
3 — 0FT
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ludogorets

Estimated win chances: Ludogorets 53.5%, draw 23.6%, Cska Sofia 22.9%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.75Expected goals1.06

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–110.2%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 0–16.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

75Hot streakLudogorets
Weighted momentum

Ludogorets carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

56BuildingCska Sofia
Ludogorets · hot formCska Sofia · Structured / conservative

Ludogorets

2W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWL
Momentum index

Cska Sofia

1W · 2D · 0L
Recent →DWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLudogorets +1

Ludogorets

6 pts
67% wins

2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played

For
11
Against
3
Goal diff +8

Cska Sofia

5 pts
33% wins

1W · 2D · 0L · 3 played

For
2
Against
1
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ludogorets offensive edge

    Ludogorets's attack (85%) vs Cska Sofia's defense (75%).

    +10
  • Cska Sofia offensive edge

    Cska Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ludogorets85
Cska Sofia15

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ludogorets25
Cska Sofia75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ludogorets75
Cska Sofia56

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ludogorets70
Cska Sofia30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ludogorets30
Cska Sofia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ludogorets55
Cska Sofia45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ludogorets71
Cska Sofia29
Ludogoretshot form
Cska SofiaStructured / conservative