Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.27
From 33 and 33 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ludogorets 1-1 Levski Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Ludogorets
Estimated win chances: Ludogorets 39.8%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 34.2%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingLudogorets
Weighted momentum
Levski Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
74Hot streakLevski Sofia
Ludogorets · compact defenseLevski Sofia · compact defense · hot form
Ludogorets
18W · 9D · 6LRecent →WLLLDWWWWWDLWWWDWWWLDLDDWDDWDWWWW
Momentum index
Levski Sofia
24W · 4D · 5LRecent →LWWDWDWWWLWWWWWLWWLWWWWWLDWWDWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevski Sofia +13
Ludogorets
63 pts55% wins
18W · 9D · 6L · 33 played
For59
Against23
Levski Sofia
76 pts73% wins
24W · 4D · 5L · 33 played
For68
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ludogorets offensive edge
Ludogorets faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-32 - Levski Sofia offensive edge
Levski Sofia's attack (75%) vs Ludogorets's defense (43%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ludogoretscompact defense
Levski Sofiacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Ludogorets50%
3Draws
2Levski Sofia20%