Goal expectancy
2.16Expected goals0.74
From 23 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ludogorets 6-0 Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Ludogorets
Estimated win chances: Ludogorets 70%, draw 18.5%, Lokomotiv Sofia 11.5%. From 23 and 24 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
84Hot streakLudogorets
Weighted momentum
Ludogorets carries the sharper recent run (+48 momentum).
36Cold spellLokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets · compact defense · hot formLokomotiv Sofia · High-risk / fragile
Ludogorets
17W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWWWWWLWWWWDWWDWDWLWWWL
Momentum index
Lokomotiv Sofia
7W · 4D · 13LRecent →LWLWLDDLWLDWDLLWLLLLWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ludogorets
54 pts74% wins
17W · 3D · 3L · 23 played
For57
Against13
Lokomotiv Sofia
25 pts29% wins
7W · 4D · 13L · 24 played
For20
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ludogorets offensive edge
Ludogorets's attack (71%) vs Lokomotiv Sofia's defense (14%).
+57 - Lokomotiv Sofia offensive edge
Lokomotiv Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-57
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ludogoretscompact defense · hot form
Lokomotiv SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Ludogorets60%
0Draws
2Lokomotiv Sofia40%