Goal expectancy
1.94Expected goals0.77
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ludogorets 6-0 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Ludogorets
Estimated win chances: Ludogorets 65%, draw 21%, Septemvri Sofia 14.1%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
78Hot streakLudogorets
Weighted momentum
Ludogorets carries the sharper recent run (+45 momentum).
33Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Ludogorets · compact defense · hot formSeptemvri Sofia · High-risk / fragile
Ludogorets
18W · 5D · 2LRecent →WWLDDWWDWWWWWWWWWWWDWWLDW
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
6W · 3D · 16LRecent →LLDWWLWDLWLWLLLLLLLLLLWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLudogorets +38
Ludogorets
59 pts72% wins
18W · 5D · 2L · 25 played
For47
Against14
Septemvri Sofia
21 pts24% wins
6W · 3D · 16L · 25 played
For23
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ludogorets offensive edge
Ludogorets's attack (50%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (22%).
+28 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ludogoretscompact defense · hot form
Septemvri SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Ludogorets0%
0Draws
1Septemvri Sofia100%