Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.52
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Lugansk 1-1 Shahter Taganrog Prediction
Balanced — model leans Shahter Taganrog
Estimated win chances: Lugansk 29.3%, draw 25.4%, Shahter Taganrog 45.3%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedLugansk
Weighted momentum
Shahter Taganrog arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
78Hot streakShahter Taganrog
Shahter Taganrog · compact defense · hot form
Lugansk
6W · 5D · 10LRecent →WLDDWLWLLWLWLLWLDDDLL
Momentum index
Shahter Taganrog
15W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWWWWLDWDLWWWWWWDWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapShahter Taganrog +25
Lugansk
23 pts29% wins
6W · 5D · 10L · 21 played
For24
Against32
Shahter Taganrog
48 pts71% wins
15W · 3D · 3L · 21 played
For42
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lugansk offensive edge
Lugansk faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Shahter Taganrog offensive edge
Shahter Taganrog's attack (67%) vs Lugansk's defense (55%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Shahter Taganrogcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lugansk100%
0Draws
0Shahter Taganrog0%