Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.07
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Lujan
Estimated win chances: Lujan 41.5%, draw 27.7%, Claypole 30.8%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedLujan
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellClaypole
Lujan · low scoringClaypole · low scoring · cold form
Lujan
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →WLDDL
Momentum index
Claypole
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Lujan
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For5
Against6
Claypole
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For4
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lujan offensive edge
Lujan's attack (56%) vs Claypole's defense (55%).
+1 - Claypole offensive edge
Claypole runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lujanlow scoring
Claypolelow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lujan13%
5Draws
2Claypole25%