Goal expectancy
1.92Expected goals1.33
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Lund
Estimated win chances: Lund 51.3%, draw 22.2%, Olympic 26.5%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingLund
Weighted momentum
Lund carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
43MixedOlympic
Olympic · leaky defense
Lund
8W · 7D · 3LRecent →WLDDWDLDWWWLDWWDWD
Momentum index
Olympic
7W · 2D · 9LRecent →LDLWWWWDLLLLWLWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLund +8
Lund
31 pts44% wins
8W · 7D · 3L · 18 played
For34
Against24
Olympic
23 pts39% wins
7W · 2D · 9L · 18 played
For30
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lund offensive edge
Lund's attack (50%) vs Olympic's defense (47%).
+3 - Olympic offensive edge
Olympic runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Olympicleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Lund33%
2Draws
4Olympic44%