Goal expectancy
2.24Expected goals1.82
From 7 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Luninets
Estimated win chances: Luninets 47.9%, draw 20.1%, Ivanovo 31.9%. From 7 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
12Cold spellLuninets
Weighted momentum
Ivanovo arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).
25Cold spellIvanovo
Luninets · High-risk / fragileIvanovo · High-risk / fragile
Luninets
1W · 1D · 5LRecent →LLLLLWD
Momentum index
Ivanovo
1W · 2D · 5LRecent →LWDLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Luninets
4 pts14% wins
1W · 1D · 5L · 7 played
For17
Against21
Ivanovo
5 pts13% wins
1W · 2D · 5L · 8 played
For15
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Luninets offensive edge
Luninets faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Ivanovo offensive edge
Ivanovo's attack (60%) vs Luninets's defense (35%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
LuninetsHigh-risk / fragile
IvanovoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Luninets20%
2Draws
2Ivanovo40%