Lyon 3-2 Lorient Prediction

LyonLyon
3 — 2FT
LorientLorient
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LyonLyonvsLorientLorient

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Lyon

Estimated win chances: Lyon 48.8%, draw 25.6%, Lorient 25.5%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.03

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

52BuildingLyon
Weighted momentum

Lyon carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

32Cold spellLorient
Lorient · low scoring · cold form

Lyon

16W · 5D · 11L
Recent →LWDWWWLDLLDWLLWWWWLLWLWLWLWWWDDW
Momentum index

Lorient

8W · 11D · 13L
Recent →WLLDWDLLLLDDDDLLLWLWLDLWDDWDWLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +18

Lyon

53 pts
50% wins

16W · 5D · 11L · 32 played

For
49
Against
41
Goal diff +8

Lorient

35 pts
25% wins

8W · 11D · 13L · 32 played

For
30
Against
41
Goal diff -11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon's attack (55%) vs Lorient's defense (50%).

    +5
  • Lorient offensive edge

    Lorient runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lyon55
Lorient45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lyon50
Lorient50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lyon52
Lorient32

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lyon60
Lorient40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lyon30
Lorient30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lyon59
Lorient41

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lyon75
Lorient25
Lorientlow scoring · cold form