Lyon 4-0 Nancy Prediction

LyonLyon
4 — 0FT
NancyNancy

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Lyon

Estimated win chances: Lyon 51.8%, draw 24.8%, Nancy 23.4%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.62Expected goals1.00

From 23 and 23 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.1%
  • 1–112.1%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–07.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

60BuildingLyon
Weighted momentum

Lyon carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

41MixedNancy

Lyon

10W · 8D · 5L
Recent →WDLWDDWWDWWDWDWWLLDLWLD
Momentum index

Nancy

8W · 4D · 11L
Recent →WLLLLWWDDWLLWWLLDLWLDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +10

Lyon

38 pts
43% wins

10W · 8D · 5L · 23 played

For
34
Against
24
Goal diff +10

Nancy

28 pts
35% wins

8W · 4D · 11L · 23 played

For
26
Against
35
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon's attack (64%) vs Nancy's defense (31%).

    +33
  • Nancy offensive edge

    Nancy runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lyon64
Nancy36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lyon69
Nancy31

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lyon60
Nancy41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lyon116
Nancy-16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lyon30
Nancy30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lyon73
Nancy27

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lyon100
Nancy0

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Lyon0%
0Draws
1Nancy100%

Recent meetings