Lyon 3-1 Nancy Prediction

LyonLyon
3 — 1FT
NancyNancy
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LyonLyonvsNancyNancy

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Lyon

Estimated win chances: Lyon 50%, draw 26.2%, Nancy 23.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals0.94

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 2–010%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–09%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingLyon
Weighted momentum

Lyon carries the sharper recent run (+39 momentum).

20Cold spellNancy
Nancy · low scoring · cold form

Lyon

5W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LWLWWWDDW
Momentum index

Nancy

0W · 5D · 4L
Recent →DLDDDLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +12

Lyon

17 pts
56% wins

5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played

For
14
Against
9
Goal diff +5

Nancy

5 pts
0% wins

0W · 5D · 4L · 9 played

For
6
Against
10
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon's attack (70%) vs Nancy's defense (56%).

    +14
  • Nancy offensive edge

    Nancy runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lyon70
Nancy30

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lyon44
Nancy56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lyon59
Nancy20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lyon78
Nancy22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lyon30
Nancy30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lyon69
Nancy31

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lyon100
Nancy0
Nancylow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

1Lyon50%
0Draws
1Nancy50%

Recent meetings

Lyon
4 – 0FT
Nancy

Ligue 1Round 24
Nancy
2 – 3FT
Lyon

Ligue 1Round 8