Lyon 3-0 Nice Prediction

LyonLyon
3 — 0FT
NiceNice

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Lyon

Estimated win chances: Lyon 49.7%, draw 24.8%, Nice 25.5%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.61Expected goals1.08

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingLyon
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

64BuildingNice
Lyon · compact defense

Lyon

10W · 5D · 3L
Recent →LDWWWLWDWWDLDWWDWW
Momentum index

Nice

7W · 8D · 3L
Recent →WWDWWWDWLDLDDWDDDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +6

Lyon

35 pts
56% wins

10W · 5D · 3L · 18 played

For
30
Against
17
Goal diff +13

Nice

29 pts
39% wins

7W · 8D · 3L · 18 played

For
26
Against
23
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon's attack (47%) vs Nice's defense (43%).

    +4
  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lyon47
Nice53

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lyon57
Nice43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lyon61
Nice64

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lyon58
Nice42

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lyon30
Nice30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lyon43
Nice57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lyon50
Nice50
Lyoncompact defense