Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.08
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Lyon 49.7%, draw 24.8%, Nice 25.5%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.61Expected goals1.08
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
10W · 5D · 3L · 18 played
7W · 8D · 3L · 18 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Lyon's attack (47%) vs Nice's defense (43%).
+4Nice runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4Comparison indices from the match data partner.