Lyon 1-1 Saint Etienne Prediction

LyonLyon
1 — 1FT
Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LyonLyonvsSaint EtienneSaint Etienne

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Lyon 38.5%, draw 26.3%, Saint Etienne 35.2%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.27

From 33 and 33 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingLyon
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

61BuildingSaint Etienne
Saint Etienne · compact defense

Lyon

17W · 8D · 8L
Recent →WWLLLDDWWLLWDWWLDWWWLWDWWDLDWWDWW
Momentum index

Saint Etienne

15W · 12D · 6L
Recent →WDWDDDWWDWWWWDLLDLDWDWWWDWDDLWWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLyon +2

Lyon

59 pts
52% wins

17W · 8D · 8L · 33 played

For
54
Against
35
Goal diff +19

Saint Etienne

57 pts
45% wins

15W · 12D · 6L · 33 played

For
55
Against
27
Goal diff +28

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -16
  • Saint Etienne offensive edge

    Saint Etienne's attack (56%) vs Lyon's defense (40%).

    +16

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lyon44
Saint Etienne56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lyon40
Saint Etienne60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lyon55
Saint Etienne61

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lyon18
Saint Etienne82

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lyon30
Saint Etienne30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lyon40
Saint Etienne60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lyon100
Saint Etienne0
Saint Etiennecompact defense