Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.23
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Macaé 37.7%, draw 26.9%, Artsul 35.3%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellMacaé
Weighted momentum
Artsul arrives with stronger form weighting (+39 momentum).
72Hot streakArtsul
Macaé · low scoring · cold formArtsul · compact defense · hot form
Macaé
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →LWL
Momentum index
Artsul
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →DWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapArtsul +4
Macaé
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For3
Against3
Artsul
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For5
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Macaé offensive edge
Macaé faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-22 - Artsul offensive edge
Artsul's attack (63%) vs Macaé's defense (40%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Macaélow scoring · cold form
Artsulcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Macaé33%
1Draws
1Artsul33%