Macaé 0-1 Nova Cidade Prediction

MacaéMacaé
0 — 1FT
Nova CidadeNova Cidade
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MacaéMacaévsNova CidadeNova Cidade

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Macaé

Estimated win chances: Macaé 43.2%, draw 25.5%, Nova Cidade 31.3%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.23

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

26Cold spellMacaé
Weighted momentum

Nova Cidade arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).

43MixedNova Cidade
Macaé · cold form

Macaé

2W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LLLWLWD
Momentum index

Nova Cidade

2W · 2D · 3L
Recent →DWLDWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNova Cidade +1

Macaé

7 pts
29% wins

2W · 1D · 4L · 7 played

For
10
Against
11
Goal diff -1

Nova Cidade

8 pts
29% wins

2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played

For
8
Against
9
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Macaé offensive edge

    Macaé faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -21
  • Nova Cidade offensive edge

    Nova Cidade's attack (54%) vs Macaé's defense (33%).

    +21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Macaé46
Nova Cidade54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Macaé33
Nova Cidade67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Macaé26
Nova Cidade43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Macaé8
Nova Cidade92

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Macaé32
Nova Cidade30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Macaé27
Nova Cidade73

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Macaé0
Nova Cidade0
Macaécold form