Macara 0-2 Emelec Prediction

MacaraMacara
0 — 2FT
EmelecEmelec
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MacaraMacaravsEmelecEmelec

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Macara 34.9%, draw 26.4%, Emelec 38.7%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.34

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellMacara
Weighted momentum

Emelec arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

45MixedEmelec
Macara · low scoring · cold form

Macara

5W · 6D · 9L
Recent →WDLLLDWDLLDLDWWLLDLW
Momentum index

Emelec

9W · 4D · 7L
Recent →LLLWWLWDWLDLWDWWLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapEmelec +10

Macara

21 pts
25% wins

5W · 6D · 9L · 20 played

For
19
Against
28
Goal diff -9

Emelec

31 pts
45% wins

9W · 4D · 7L · 20 played

For
32
Against
23
Goal diff +9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Macara offensive edge

    Macara faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Emelec offensive edge

    Emelec's attack (58%) vs Macara's defense (41%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Macara42
Emelec58

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Macara41
Emelec59

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Macara34
Emelec45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Macara16
Emelec84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Macara30
Emelec30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Macara40
Emelec60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Macara0
Emelec100
Macaralow scoring · cold form