Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals0.93
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Macva
Estimated win chances: Macva 46.5%, draw 27.7%, Zemun 25.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingMacva
Weighted momentum
Macva carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
41MixedZemun
Macva · compact defense
Macva
13W · 4D · 6LRecent →DWDWLLWDWWLDLLWWWWLWWWW
Momentum index
Zemun
5W · 11D · 7LRecent →DWDWDLDLLDWDWDLDLDWLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMacva +17
Macva
43 pts57% wins
13W · 4D · 6L · 23 played
For31
Against17
Zemun
26 pts22% wins
5W · 11D · 7L · 23 played
For27
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Macva offensive edge
Macva faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Zemun offensive edge
Zemun's attack (71%) vs Macva's defense (63%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Macvacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Macva0%
2Draws
3Zemun60%