Malacateco 2-1 Heredia Prediction

MalacatecoMalacateco
2 — 1FT
HerediaHeredia
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Updated

MalacatecoMalacatecovsHerediaHeredia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Malacateco 36.6%, draw 24.6%, Heredia 38.8%. From 23 and 25 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.49

From 23 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–08%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

31Cold spellMalacateco
Weighted momentum

Heredia arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).

54BuildingHeredia
Malacateco · High-risk / fragile

Malacateco

4W · 10D · 9L
Recent →LLWDLDWDDLDLDLDLDLWDWLD
Momentum index

Heredia

10W · 8D · 7L
Recent →DDDWLDWWWDWWLWLWLDLWLWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Malacateco

22 pts
17% wins

4W · 10D · 9L · 23 played

For
29
Against
44
Goal diff -15

Heredia

38 pts
40% wins

10W · 8D · 7L · 25 played

For
37
Against
32
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Heredia offensive edge

    Heredia's attack (44%) vs Malacateco's defense (27%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Malacateco56
Heredia44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Malacateco27
Heredia73

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Malacateco31
Heredia54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Malacateco16
Heredia84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Malacateco39
Heredia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Malacateco40
Heredia60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Malacateco20
Heredia80
MalacatecoHigh-risk / fragile