Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.39
From 40 and 42 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Malacateco 30.8%, draw 26.6%, Marquense 42.6%. From 40 and 42 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.14Expected goals1.39
From 40 and 42 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Marquense arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
10W · 15D · 15L · 40 played
18W · 16D · 8L · 42 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Malacateco's attack (63%) vs Marquense's defense (53%).
+10Marquense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9Comparison indices from the match data partner.