Malacateco 1-1 Municipal Prediction

MalacatecoMalacateco
1 — 1FT
MunicipalMunicipal
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MalacatecoMalacatecovsMunicipalMunicipal

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Municipal

Estimated win chances: Malacateco 30.2%, draw 25.7%, Municipal 44.1%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.18Expected goals1.48

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 0–27.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedMalacateco
Weighted momentum

Municipal arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).

73Hot streakMunicipal
Municipal · compact defense · hot form

Malacateco

6W · 6D · 6L
Recent →DDLWLDDWWDLWLDLLWW
Momentum index

Municipal

11W · 4D · 3L
Recent →WWWWWDLWDLWWWDWDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMunicipal +13

Malacateco

24 pts
33% wins

6W · 6D · 6L · 18 played

For
20
Against
21
Goal diff -1

Municipal

37 pts
61% wins

11W · 4D · 3L · 18 played

For
39
Against
16
Goal diff +23

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -29
  • Municipal offensive edge

    Municipal's attack (83%) vs Malacateco's defense (54%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Malacateco17
Municipal83

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Malacateco54
Municipal46

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Malacateco42
Municipal73

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Malacateco-8
Municipal108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Malacateco30
Municipal30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Malacateco25
Municipal75

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Malacateco29
Municipal71
Municipalcompact defense · hot form