Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.03
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Malavan 1-1 Aluminium Arak Prediction
Balanced — model leans Malavan
Estimated win chances: Malavan 42.4%, draw 27.9%, Aluminium Arak 29.7%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellMalavan
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellAluminium Arak
Malavan · cold formAluminium Arak · low scoring · cold form
Malavan
5W · 3D · 5LRecent →LLLWLDDWWLWDW
Momentum index
Aluminium Arak
3W · 6D · 4LRecent →DDDLLWWWLDLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMalavan +3
Malavan
18 pts38% wins
5W · 3D · 5L · 13 played
For15
Against14
Aluminium Arak
15 pts23% wins
3W · 6D · 4L · 13 played
For13
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Malavan offensive edge
Malavan's attack (67%) vs Aluminium Arak's defense (62%).
+5 - Aluminium Arak offensive edge
Aluminium Arak runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Malavancold form
Aluminium Araklow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Malavan50%
3Draws
0Aluminium Arak0%