Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals0.98
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Mallorca
Estimated win chances: Mallorca 42.7%, draw 28.5%, Sabadell 28.8%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingMallorca
Weighted momentum
Sabadell arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
74Hot streakSabadell
Mallorca · compact defenseSabadell · Structured / conservative
Mallorca
2W · 1D · 1LRecent →DWLW
Momentum index
Sabadell
2W · 2D · 0LRecent →WWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSabadell +1
Mallorca
7 pts50% wins
2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played
For5
Against2
Sabadell
8 pts50% wins
2W · 2D · 0L · 4 played
For4
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mallorca offensive edge
Mallorca's attack (56%) vs Sabadell's defense (50%).
+6 - Sabadell offensive edge
Sabadell runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mallorcacompact defense
SabadellStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Mallorca100%
0Draws
0Sabadell0%