Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.19
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Mallorca
Estimated win chances: Mallorca 45.1%, draw 25.3%, Valencia 29.6%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedMallorca
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
40MixedValencia
Mallorca
9W · 7D · 15LRecent →WWLWDLLLLWLWLLDWDDLWLDWLWLDLLDL
Momentum index
Valencia
9W · 8D · 14LRecent →LLWLWWLWLLWWDLDLDDWDLLDLLDWLWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapValencia +1
Mallorca
34 pts29% wins
9W · 7D · 15L · 31 played
For39
Against48
Valencia
35 pts29% wins
9W · 8D · 14L · 31 played
For34
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mallorca offensive edge
Mallorca's attack (59%) vs Valencia's defense (46%).
+13 - Valencia offensive edge
Valencia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Mallorca33%
4Draws
2Valencia22%