Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals0.99
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Manresa
Estimated win chances: Manresa 41.9%, draw 28.6%, Peralada 29.5%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingManresa
Weighted momentum
Manresa carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
51MixedPeralada
Manresa · low scoringPeralada · low scoring
Manresa
9W · 2D · 3LRecent →LWWWLWLWWDWDWW
Momentum index
Peralada
5W · 5D · 4LRecent →WWLDLWLWDLWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapManresa +9
Manresa
29 pts64% wins
9W · 2D · 3L · 14 played
For14
Against14
Peralada
20 pts36% wins
5W · 5D · 4L · 14 played
For14
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Manresa offensive edge
Manresa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (64%) vs Manresa's defense (50%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Manresalow scoring
Peraladalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Manresa33%
1Draws
1Peralada33%