Maranhão 1-3 Ceara Prediction

Maranhão

1 — 3FT30 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTC

Ceara

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 10 Nov 2026, 20:09 UTC

MaranhãovsCeara

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ceara

Estimated win chances: Maranhão 31.2%, draw 24%, Ceara 44.8%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh

VolatilityMedium

Expected goalsMedium

Tactical styleOpen / transitional

Upset potentialHigh

Draw riskMedium

Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.65

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–111.6%
1–29.5%
0–18.6%
2–17.7%
0–27.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

9Cold spellMaranhão

Weighted momentum

Ceara arrives with stronger form weighting (+58 momentum).

67BuildingCeara

Maranhão · High-risk / fragileCeara · hot form

Maranhão

0W · 1D · 3L

Recent →LDLL

Momentum index

Ceara

2W · 1D · 1L

Recent →WWLD

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCeara +6

Maranhão

1 pts

0% wins

0W · 1D · 3L · 4 played

For

Against

Goal diff -8

Ceara

7 pts

50% wins

2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played

For

Against

Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Maranhão offensive edge
Maranhão faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42
Ceara offensive edge
Ceara's attack (73%) vs Maranhão's defense (31%).
+42

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Maranhão27

Ceara73

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Maranhão31

Ceara69

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Maranhão9

Ceara67

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Maranhão-34

Ceara134

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Maranhão59

Ceara30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Maranhão13

Ceara88

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Maranhão0

Ceara100

MaranhãoHigh-risk / fragile

Cearahot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Maranhão0%

0Draws

1Ceara100%

Recent meetings

12 Mar 2026, 22:30 UTC