Goal expectancy
1.85Expected goals1.07
From 26 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Marek 2-2 CSKA Sofia II Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Marek
Estimated win chances: Marek 55.6%, draw 22.7%, Cska Sofia Ii 21.7%. From 26 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
80Hot streakMarek
Weighted momentum
Marek carries the sharper recent run (+38 momentum).
42MixedCska Sofia Ii
Marek · compact defense · hot form
Marek
20W · 4D · 2LRecent →WWWWDWWLWWLWDWWWDDWWWWWWWW
Momentum index
Cska Sofia Ii
9W · 7D · 9LRecent →WDLDLLDLDWWLWDLWWLWLDWLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Marek
64 pts77% wins
20W · 4D · 2L · 26 played
For63
Against15
Cska Sofia Ii
34 pts36% wins
9W · 7D · 9L · 25 played
For42
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Marek offensive edge
Marek's attack (50%) vs Cska Sofia Ii's defense (0%).
+50 - Cska Sofia Ii offensive edge
Cska Sofia Ii runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-50
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Marekcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Marek0%
1Draws
0Cska Sofia Ii0%