Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals1.25
From 4 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Mariehamn
Estimated win chances: Mariehamn 47%, draw 24.2%, Kooteepee 28.8%. From 4 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellMariehamn
Weighted momentum
Mariehamn carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
11Cold spellKooteepee
Mariehamn · cold formKooteepee · High-risk / fragile
Mariehamn
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLWD
Momentum index
Kooteepee
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Mariehamn
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For6
Against6
Kooteepee
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For4
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mariehamn offensive edge
Mariehamn's attack (60%) vs Kooteepee's defense (50%).
+10 - Kooteepee offensive edge
Kooteepee runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mariehamncold form
KooteepeeHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Mariehamn40%
2Draws
1Kooteepee20%